Debt - News

CANADA FX DEBT-C$ gains as inflation data bolsters rate hike bets

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Canadian dollar rises 0.2% against the greenback

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Canada’s annual inflation rate eases to 6.3%

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Investors see 77% chance of BoC rate hike this month

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Canadian bond yields trade mixed across curve

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Jan 17 (Reuters) – The Canadian dollar strengthened against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as investors raised bets on a Bank of Canada interest rate hike this month following domestic data showing that underlying inflation pressures persist.

Canada’s annual inflation rate eased more than expected to 6.3% in December as gas prices came down but core measures remained little changed from the previous month, Statistics Canada said.

Money markets see a 77% chance of a quarter-point hike by the Bank of Canada on Jan. 25, up from 70% before the data.

The core measures of inflation “are a little bit stickier” than the headline, said Michael Greenberg, SVP and portfolio manager at Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions.

The BoC is going to keep its “eye on the prize,” which is inflation moving back to a range of 1% to 3% with inflation expectations anchored, Greenberg added.

The Canadian dollar was trading 0.2% higher at 1.3380 to the greenback, or 74.74 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3372 to 1.3437.

Gains for the loonie came as the U.S. dollar lost ground against a basket of major currencies and the price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, rose to a two-week high.

U.S. crude prices were up 1.2% at $80.80 a barrel after China posted weak but expectation-beating annual economic growth data.

Separate domestic data showed housing starts falling more than expected in December to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 248,625 units, after posting a revised rate of 263,022 units in November.

Canadian government bond yields were mixed across the curve.

The 2-year eased 1.3 basis points to 3.582% but the gap compared to the equivalent U.S. rate narrowed by 2.3 basis points to 62.3 basis points in favor of the U.S. bond, its smallest since Nov. 2. (Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Angus MacSwan)


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