David Iben put it well when he said, ‘Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.’ When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, WH Smith PLC (LON:SMWH) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can’t easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can’t fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company’s debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for WH Smith
What Is WH Smith’s Net Debt?
As you can see below, WH Smith had UK£424.0m of debt, at August 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had UK£132.0m in cash, and so its net debt is UK£292.0m.
How Strong Is WH Smith’s Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that WH Smith had liabilities of UK£517.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£864.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£132.0m and UK£87.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£1.16b.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of UK£1.88b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company’s debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
WH Smith has net debt worth 1.8 times EBITDA, which isn’t too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 3.5 times the interest expense. While that doesn’t worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. We also note that WH Smith improved its EBIT from a last year’s loss to a positive UK£119m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if WH Smith can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it’s worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, WH Smith generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 87% of its EBIT, more than we’d expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for WH Smith was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren’t so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about WH Smith’s use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet – far from it. For example – WH Smith has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it’s often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It’s free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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