Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, ‘The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about… and every practical investor I know worries about.’ So it seems the smart money knows that debt – which is usually involved in bankruptcies – is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Choice Hotels International, Inc.<\/strong> (NYSE:CHH<\/a>) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky. <\/p>\n Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can’t easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can’t fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company’s use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together. <\/p>\n <\/p>\n View our latest analysis for Choice Hotels International <\/a><\/span><\/p>\n You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Choice Hotels International had US$1.16b of debt, an increase on US$1.06b, over one year. However, it does have US$52.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.11b. <\/p>\n The latest balance sheet data shows that Choice Hotels International had liabilities of US$426.4m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.48b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$52.5m and US$350.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.50b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined. <\/p>\n While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Choice Hotels International has a market capitalization of US$6.56b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. <\/p>\n <\/p>\n We measure a company’s debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it. <\/p>\n <\/p>\n We’d say that Choice Hotels International’s moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.0), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 14.1 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. It is well worth noting that Choice Hotels International’s EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 47% in the last twelve months. That’ll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Choice Hotels International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you’re focused on the future you can check out this free<\/strong> report showing analyst profit forecasts<\/a>. <\/p>\n Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don’t cut it. So it’s worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Choice Hotels International produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 61% of its EBIT, about what we’d expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to. <\/p>\n <\/p>\n The good news is that Choice Hotels International’s demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Choice Hotels International’s use of debt seems quite reasonable and we’re not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There’s no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet – far from it. Be aware that Choice Hotels International is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis<\/strong> <\/a>, you should know about… <\/p>\n <\/p>\n Of course, if you’re the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don’t hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks<\/a>, today. <\/p>\n What are the risks and opportunities for Choice Hotels International?<\/p>\n Why Does Debt Bring Risk? <\/h2>\n
What Is Choice Hotels International’s Net Debt? <\/h2>\n
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A Look At Choice Hotels International’s Liabilities <\/h2>\n
Our View<\/h2>\n